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  • Writer's pictureDaniel Roytas

If influenza is contagious, then the pattern of spread should reflect human social behaviour.


They found that pandemics spread East to West, irrespective of which direction the prevailing winds blew. Even when the winds came from the West, the direction of spread remained unaffected.



In relation to the East to West phenomenon, Dr. Edgar Hope Simpson said, “The spread of influenza is roughly geographical, and not as one would expect along the lines of communication”.


If influenza is contagious, then the pattern of spread should reflect human social behaviour. That is, pandemics should have an epicenter and spread outwards in all directions.


Curiously, every major pandemic in history has dispersed in an East to West direction. This environmental trend is incompatible with the theory of contagion.


If influenza is indeed communicable why would it follow a preferred direction of travel?



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